If we can't show the working, we don't publish it.
No curve-fitting, no buried parameters, no survivorship sleight of hand. Open data, documented assumptions, and a live record from the day a system goes up.
Simple, stated rules
Every system is described by a handful of rules a reader can follow by hand. Complexity is a cost, not a feature — if a rule can't be justified plainly, it doesn't make the cut.
Open, documented data
Sources, tickers and assumptions are published alongside each system. You can reproduce the backtest from the same inputs we used.
Honest about drawdowns
We lead with the worst stretches, not just the headline return. Maximum drawdown, time-to-recover and the ugly years are shown first.
Tracked live, out of sample
From publication onward, results are recorded in the open — no quiet edits, no retro-fitting. The track record is the track record.
TimedBeta publishes research and educational material. It is not investment advice, and past performance — simulated or live — is no guarantee of future results.